8.6.19 – MLB +EV Trends
Andrew Cashner is the most profitable pitcher in the MLB in 2019. In 21 games between Baltimore and Boston. Cashner’s teams have won 57% of the games he has started in. Bettors backing Cashner have gone 12-9, +10.34u, an ROI of +1.23% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$49 per bet win or lose backing the cash man. Backing Cashner vs Kansas City is worth a shot at a 3.1% stake. Andrew Cashner is also the most profitable pitcher in the MLB on the 1st 5 line in 2019. Cashner’s teams have won 55% of the 1st 5 innings in which he has started, bettors have gone: 11-6-3, +9.69u, an ROI of +1.21% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$48 per bet win or lose backing Cashner on the 1st 5. Doubling up and taking Cashner on the 1st 5 at a 3% stake is worth a shot to add onto the full game ML.
Starter Zach Plesac’s Cleveland Indians have won 75% of the games he has started this season. Bettors backing the Tribe in games when Plesac starts have gone 9-3, +5.3u, an ROI of +1.1% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$44 per bet win or lose backing Plesac. Backing him today vs the Rangers is worth a shot at a 2.75% stake.
Bret Anderson has been a profitable pitcher to back in 2019. Anderson’s team has won 63% of the games in which he starts. Bettors backing Anderson have gone 14-8, +5.53u, an ROI of +0.63% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$25 per bet win or lose. Anderson and the A’s take on Jon Lester and the Cubs tonight. Taking a shot with the A’s at a 1.6% stake is a good bet in this spot.
Pirates pitcher Steven Brault is returning to the mound after over a month off due to a strained shoulder. Brault hopes to return to his winning ways and bettors hope he continues those ways as well. Brault has lead his team to victory in 55% of his starts in 2019. Backers of Brault have gone 5-4, +1.96u, an ROI of +0.54$ per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$22 per bet win or lose. Brault and the Pirates take on the Brewcrew today at home as +125ish underdogs. Backing Brault in hopes he returns to form is worth a shot at a 1.3% stake.
+EV Trends for Tennis: 8.6.19
Amanda Keys has struggled in 2019 and has overall been a profitable player to fade this season. So far in 2019 bettors fading Keys have gone: 10-16, +10.5u, an ROI of +1.01% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$40 win or lose betting against Keys. Keys takes on the Croatian Donna Vekic in Canada this afternoon. Continuing the fade and putting a 2.5% stake on Vekic is a great bet in this position.
Guido Pella has been one of the most profitable tennis players to back in 2019. He has won 63% of his matches this season and backers of Pella have gone: 29-17, +11.81u, an ROI of +0.64% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$26 per bet win or lose. His opponent this afternoon is the Belgian David Goffin who has been a profitable fade for all of 2019. Goffin has won 57% of his matches, however bettors fading Goffin have gone: 18-24, +3.77u, an ROI of +0.22% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$9 per bet win or lose fading Goffin. Taking a shot at Pella as a 2-1 underdog is a great spot here at a 1.6% stake.
The American Alison Riske has been a sound investment in 2019. Riske has won 63% of her matches this season, going 24-14 and winning her backers +9.17u. An ROI of +0.6% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$24 per bet win or lose backing Riske. She takes on the Greek Maria Sakkari in Toronto this afternoon at the WTA Rogers Cup. Sakkari has also been profitable in 2019, going 28-17 and collecting +4.41u for her backers. However, the value is on Riske in this. Getting the more profitable woman who has played 7 less games than her opponent and at a dog number. Riske is the right risk to take at a 1.5% stake.
+EV Trends for WNBA: 8.6.19
The Atlanta Dream have gone under the total in 66% of their home games so far in 2019. Backing the under with the Dream at home, bettors have gone: 8-4, +3.28u, an ROI of +0.68% per wager and $100 bettors have netted +$27 per bet win or lose backing the under with the Dream at home. The dream host the Minnesota Lynx tonight at taking the under is definitely the bet at a 1.7% stake.
The Dream have also been a profitable fade at home against the spread all season long. The Dream have failed to cover the number in 66% of their home games so far this season. Bettors fading the Dream on home court have gone 8-4, +3.28u Sticking to what works and fading the Dream at home vs Minnesota is worth a play at a 1.7% stake.
Spark Sports: Plays Of The Day
3.08% – Red Sox (Cashner) -185
2.76% – Indians (Plesac) -196
1.57% – Oakland (Anderson) +118
1.36% – Pittsburgh (Brault) +126
2.52% – D. Vekic -110
1.51% – A. Riske +125
1.6% – G. Pella +211
$125 – Red Sox (Cashner) -185
$115 – Indians (Plesac) -200
Tennis » WTA Toronto
$105 – D. Vekic -120
Follow All our plays on Twitter @SparkSportsBets