Bruins/Blues: Game 7 – Stanley Cup Final Predictions Cheat Sheet.

NHL Playoff Game Trends:

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67% of games had less than 7 goals (58/86)
50% of games had 6 goals or less (43/86)
48% of games had less than 6 goals (42/86)
32% of games had 7 goals or more (28/86)

The road team won by 2+ goals in 23% of games (20/86)
The road team won in regulation in 39% of games (34/86)
The home team won by 2+ goals in 31% of games (27/86)
The home team won in regulation in 41% of games (36/86)

Overtime occurred in only 19.8% of games. (17/86)

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NHL Playoffs Betting Trends:

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Underdogs have gone 46-40, +16.23u so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.
Road Teams in Regulation are: 34-52, +11.47u so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.
The 3P Over 1.5 has gone: 59-27, +8.28u so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.
Road Teams are 42-44, +7.61u so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.
The 1P Over 1.5 has gone: 45-41, +2.86u so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.
The 1P Over 2 has gone 25-39-21, +4.29u so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.

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NHL Playoffs Team Betting Trends:

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The St. Louis Blues have won 13 of their 25 playoff games in regulation. They are 13-12, +7.94u in regulation. The Blues have won 8 out of 12 of their road playoff games in regulation. They are 8-4, +10.4u in regulation on the road. The Blues are 9-3, +7.34u on the road and 15-10, +4.41u overall so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.

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The Boston Bruins have won 14 of their 23 playoff games this year in regulation. They are 14-9, +10.41u in regulation. The Bruins have won 6 of their 12 home playoff games in regulation. They are 6-6, +0.4u in regulation at home. The Bruins are 7-5, -0.39u at home, and 15-8, +4.73u overall so far in the 2019 NHL playoffs.

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Betting Tips.

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The Blues are 8-4, +10.4u on the road in regulation so far in these playoffs. They are 9-3, +7.34u on the moneyline on the road, so far in these playoffs. The Bruins have an equal amount of units to their name – but that is overall, and in regulation (14-9, +10.41u)
The Bruins have only won 6 of their 12 home playoffs games in regulation so far, and they are -0.39u on the moneyline at home, winning just 7 of their 12 home playoff games.
The Blues in regulation is worth a high % bet. Something around a 5.5% stake. This is max bet material based on the value you are getting. Win or lose, this is the right side to be on. One other way to approach this to protect yourself in case there is a game 7 overtime scenario. Take the 5.5% recommended stake and split it between the ML and the Regulation ML.

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The 3rd Period Over 1.5 has gone: 59-27, +8.28u so far in the playoffs. An ROI of +0.24% per bet and $100 bettors have netted $10 per wager win or lose. This bet is usually good for a 1% stake, but because it is the last game of the year, it is an elimination game on both sides, if a team is down 1 or 2 or even 3 goals – we may see multiple empty netters. With those factors being considered, this is a bet worth a 5% stake.

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The 1st period has had more than 2 goals in 29% of this year’s 86 NHL playoff games.
The 1P Over 2 has gone: 25-39-21, +4.29u. This bet is worth a 1% stake.
The 1st period has had 2 goals or more in 52% of this year’s 86 NHL playoff games.
The 1P Over 1.5 has gone: 45-42, +2.86u. This bet is also worth a 1% stake.

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There has been 7 goals or more in only 32% of the 86 NHL playoff games this year.
There has been 6 goals or less in 50% of the 86 NHL playoff games this year.
The Under 6.5 has gone: 58-28, +2.35u in the playoffs.
The Under 6 has gone: 43-28-15, +1.25u in the playoffs.

Taking a shot at both u6.5 and u6 – for a 1% stake is a good bet, regardless of the juice.

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SparkSportsBestBets

NHL Stanley Cup Final: Game 7
2.75% – Blues (Regulation) +211
2.75% – Blues +154
5% – BOS/STL (3P: o1.5) -138
1% – BOS/STL (1P: o2) +232
1% – BOS/STL (1P: o1.5) +127
1% – BOS/STL u6 (-243)
1% – BOS/STL u6.5 (-312)


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