Champions League: RD of 16 – Bayern Munich vs Liverpool (2nd Leg) Preview + Predictions

 

Bayern Munich vs Liverpool

Image result for bayern munich vs liverpool

 

Preview: FlashScore.com
These two titans have both been European champions five times, and with nothing to separate them after the first leg (0-0), both fancy their chances of a place in the Champions League (CL) quarter-finals. Bayern may have home advantage, but Liverpool know an away goal could be enough to progress.
Bayern are undefeated in the CL this season (W4, D3), and in all competitions are undefeated at home in their last ten matches (W8, D2) – which includes five clean sheets, an average of 2.9 goals scored, and 0.7 goals conceded per game.
Liverpool have lost all three of their CL away matches this season, with just one goal scored and five conceded. Overall however, they are in fine form and are undefeated in their last ten competitive matches (W5, D5) – which includes six clean sheets, 19 scored and seven conceded.
Perhaps surprisingly, the first leg was the first competitive H2H meeting since 2001 when Liverpool beat Bayern 3-2 to lift the UEFA Super Cup. From his time at Dortmund, Jurgen Klopp (LIV) knows Bayern well, although his record against them shows he has often struggled to win (W9, D5, L16).
Players to watchManuel Neuer (BAY) will make his 100th CL appearance, and his shot stopping (19 saves in seven CL games) will be key to blunting the visitors’ attack.
Mo Salah (LIV) has three CL goals this season and is the Red’s main playmaker (17 goals and seven assists in the Premier League).
Stat attack: Bayern have kept two clean sheets in their last two home games (6-0, 1-0), whilst Liverpool have kept two clean sheets in their last two away games (0-0, 0-0).
The first leg saw just two yellow cards (one each), from a total of 23 fouls.
Bayern have scored in their last ten competitive home matches – with six of them (60%) seeing over 2.5 goals.

 



+EV Trends

Fading Bayern Munich +1 @ Home: 8-8, +14.35u
Bayern Munich Draws: 9-29, +20.15u,
Bayern Munich u3.5 @ Home: 9-7, +6.87u
Fading Liverpool on the Road: 5-14, +6.63u
Liverpool u2.5 on the Road: 11-8, +5.56u
Bayern Munich u3.5: 21-17, +8.63u
Fade Liverpool + Draw (on the Road): 10-9, +4.15u
Fade Liverpool +1 (on the Road): 14-5, +2.31u
Fade Bayern Munich + Draw: 12-26, +3.86u
Liverpool u2.5: 18-21, +3.67u
Liverpool Draw (on the Road): 5-14, +1.68u
Liverpool BTTS No: 22-17, +2.55u
Liverpool BTTS No (on the Road): 10-19, +0.4u


Predictions Model

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AlMac’s Plays Of The Day:
3.33% – BayernMunich/Liverpool (Draw) +255
2.5% – Liverpool +0.5 (-131)
2.43% – BayernMunich/Liverpool u2.5 (-103)
0.56% – BayernMunich/Liverpool BTTS:No (+108)

2.5% – Liverpool: To Qualify (-103)

AlMac’s Best Bets
$50 – BayernMunich/Liverpool (Draw) +260
$50 – Liverpool +0.25 (+108)
$50 – BayernMunich/Liverpool u2.5 (+105)


Follow on Twitter @AlMacSportsTO


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