Math Man’s Final Four Handicapping Preview & Prediction Play

“Have no fear the Math Man is here!”

We have come so far from just a budding analytical sprout to a blossoming mathematical flower of handicapping edge. Not only have we advanced our models into derivatives, we have also added blended stats based on last 3 games played.

So get ready! It’s Math Time!

Our most successful stat this March has been the “Measure Of Expectation” aka ‘The Moe Rating’

The Moe Rating – ATS: March 2018

58.62% 34 24 +6.94u

We have also had success with a few other models during the tournament.

NET PPG Rating РAll: March 2018 

55.93% 33 26 3.46u

Net Efficiency Rating – ATS: March 2018:

53.47% 54 47 2.14

So without further delay – let’s get cappin!


(11) Loyola-Chicago vs (3) Michigan

MOE Rating

Net PPG Rating

Net EFF Rating

Net Assists/TurnOver Rating

Net Rebound Rating

Rebound + Free Throw Rating

Average Winning Margin Rating

Math Man’s Bracket Pick:


(1) Villanova vs (1) Kansas

MOE Rating

Net PPG Rating

Net EFF Rating

Net Asst/TurnOver Rating

Net Rebound Rating

Rebound + Free Throw Rating

Average Winning Margin Rating

Math Man’s Bracket Pick:


Image result for over under
Michigan/Loyola

PPG = Totals (52.25%: 116-106, -0.9)

Rebound + Free Throw Rating

Over/Under Trend Model:


Villanova/Kansas

PPG = Totals (52.25%: 116-106, -0.9)

Rebound + Free Throw Rating

Over/Under Trend Model:


Image result for derivatives

Michigan/Loyola

1H Avg Winning Margin

2H Avg Winning Margin

1H Net PPG

2H Net PPG


Villanova/Kansas

1H Avg Winning Margin

2H Avg Winning Margin

1H Net PPG

2H Net PPG


almacsbestbet
$125: Villanova -1, Loyola +9.5 – Teaser @ 1.91
$50: Loyola/Michigan u130 (-105),
$50: Kansas/Villanova o155 (-110),
$50: Loyola/Michigan 1H o59,
$50: Kansas/Villanova 1H u72.5 (-110)

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