Math Man’s NBA Prediction Preview – Game 2 Edition II

Raptors/Wizards – GM 2: (TOR leads series 1-0)

Pace Predictor Model:
ALL: (13-5, +6.83u)
ATS: (7-2, +4.37u)
TOTALS: (5-3, +1.55u)

Net PPG Model
ALL: (11-7, +3.01u)
ATS: (6-3, +2.46u)
TOTALS: (5-4, +0.55u)

Net EFFICIENCY Model
ATS: (6-3, +2.46u)

O/U % (2-0, +1.82u)

O/U Margin: (3-2, +0.73u)

+EV ATS TRENDS:
Fading Raptors: last 27 Tuesday games. (20-7, +11.2u)

+EV O/U TRENDS:
Wizards OVER: last 54 games playing on 2 days rest. (37-17, +16.67u)

 


Celtics/Bucks (BOS leads series 1-0)

Pace Predictor Model:

Net PPG Model

Net EFFICIENCY Model

O/U %

O/U Margin

+EV ATS TRENDS
Tailing Celtics: last 67 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. (45-21, +19.95u)

+EV O/U TRENDS
Bucks OVER: last 27 overall. (20-7, +11.2u)
Celtics OVER: last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. (38-14, +20.58u)


Blazers/Pelicans (NWO leads series 1-0) 

Pace Predictor Model:

Net PPG Model

Net EFFICIENCY Model

O/U %

O/U Margin

 

+EV ATS TRENDS
Tail PELICANS: last 26 games following a ATS win. (19-7, +10.29u)
Fade BLAZERS: last 30 Conference Quarterfinals games. (21-7, +12.11u)


mathman[1]
Math Man’s Picks:

Raptors -7, o214
Celtics -2, o198.5
Pelicans +6, o214,

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