Math Man’s Prediction Plays – NBA Playoff Edition

Saturday April 14th – Game 1.


Golden State: ATS

Overall:
Tailing: (34-47, -16.06)Fading: (47-34, +8.77u)

At Home:
Tailing (16-24 -9.44u)
Fading: (24-16, +5.84u)

As Fav:
Tailing: (33-42, -11.97u)
Fading: (42-33, +5.22u)

San Antonio: ATS
Overall:
Tailing: (40-38, -1.6u)
Fading: (38-40, -5.42u)

On The Road:
Tailing: (15-24, -10.35u)
Fading: (24-15, +6.84u)

As Dog:
Tailing: (10-12 -2.9u)
Fading: (12-10, +0.92u)

Golden State: O/U
Over: (40-41, -4.6u)
Under: (41-40, -2.69u)

San Antonio: O/U
Over: (38-44, -9.42u)
Under: (44-38, +2.04u)

Betting Trends:
Fading Previous Year’s Finals Teams – ATS as Favs: 86-52, +30.71u
Fading Previous Year’s Finals Teams – ATS: 97-66, +26.92u

Team ATS Trends:

Tailing Warriors:
Warriors are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 Conference Quarterfinals games. (+13.93u)

Fading Warriors:
Warriors are 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. (+12.84u)

Team Total Trends:

Warriors Under:
Under is 19-7 in Warriors last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. (+10.29u)

Measure Of Expectation Rating (MOE)

Margin Of Victory Rating (MOV)

Cover % Rating (CPR)

Over/Under Trend %

Over/Under Margin

Net Efficiency Rating:

NET PPG Rating:

Pace Prediction:

Math Man’s Pick: Spurs +8, u206

———————————————————————-

Toronto: ATS

Overall:
Tailing: (43-38, +1.13u)Fading: (38-43, -8.42u)

At Home:
Tailing (21-19, +0.11u)
Fading: (19-21 -3.71u)

As Fav:
Tailing: (34-33 -2.06u)
Fading 33-34 -3.97u)

Washington: ATS
Overall:
Tailing: (37-44 -10.33u)
Fading: (44-37 +3.04u)

On The Road:
Tailing: (21-20 -.89u)
Fading: (20 21 -2.8u)

As Dog:
Tailing: (18-11 +5.38u)
Fading: (11-18 -7.99u)

Raptors: O/U
Over: (40-40 -3.6u)
Under: (40-40 -3.6u)

Washington: O/U
Over: (37-44 -10.33u)
Under: (44-37 +3.04u)

Team ATS Trends:


Fading Wizards:
 last 8 road games. (7-1, +5.37u)
Fading Raptors: last 26 Conference Quarterfinals games. (18-7, +9.38u)

Team Total Trends:
Wizards OVER:
 last 53 games playing on 2 days rest. (36-17, +15.76u)
Raptors OVER:
 last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. (10-3, +6.1u)

Head To Head Trends:
Under: 
last 14 meetings in Toronto. (12-2, +8.92u)
Wizards ATS: last 8 meetings in Toronto. (6-2, +3.46u)

Measure Of Expectation Rating (MOE)

Margin Of Victory Rating (MOV)

Cover % Rating (CPR)

Over/Under Trend %

Over/Under Avg Margin

Net Efficiency Rating:

NET PPG Rating:

Pace Prediction:

Math Man’s Pick: Raptors -8, o211

————————————————————————-

Philadelphia : ATS

Overall:
Tailing: (47-33, +9.77u)Fading: (33-47, -16.97u)

At Home:
Tailing (27-14 +10.57u)
Fading: (14-27, -14.26u)

As Fav:
Tailing: (34-21 +9.94u)
Fading 21-34 -14.89u)

Miami: ATS
Overall:
Tailing: (40-36 +.4u)
Fading: (36-40 -7.24u)

On The Road:
Tailing: (24-15 +6.84u)
Fading: (15-24 -10.35u)

As Dog:
Tailing: (22-15 +5.02u)
Fading: (15-22 -8.35u)

Sixers: O/U
Over: (41-40 -2.69u)
Under: (40-41 -4.6u)

Heat: O/U
Over: (40-36 +.4u)
Under: (36-40 -7.24u)

Team ATS Trends:


Tail Heat:
 last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. (26-9, +14.66u,)
Tail Sixers: last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. (18-6, +10.38u)

Team Total Trends:
Heat OVER: last 12 road games. (9-3, +5.19u)
Sixers UNDER: 
last 10 vs. NBA Southeast. (7-3, +3.37u)

Head To Head Trends:
Home Team ATS:
 last 8 meetings. (6-1, +4.46u)
OVER: last 7 meetings in Philadelphia. (5-2, +2.55u)

Measure Of Expectation Rating (MOE)

Margin Of Victory Rating (MOV)

Cover % Rating (CPR)

Over/Under Trend %

Over/Under Avg Margin

Net Efficiency Rating:

NET PPG Rating:

Pace Prediction:

Math Man’s Pick: Sixers -6.5, u213.5

————————————————————————-

Measure Of Expectation Rating (MOE)

Margin Of Victory Rating (MOV)

Cover % Rating (CPR)

Over/Under Trend %

Over/Under Avg Margin

Net Efficiency Rating:

NET PPG Rating:

Pace Prediction:

Math Man’s Pick: Portland -5.5, u217


Sunday games will be added in the morning.

Follow Me On Twitter: @AlMacSportsTO

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