MLB Season Win Totals

Cesear’s Palace Win Totals*

 

Astro’s 97.5

103 last season. 97 the season prior. The team hit 103 even with a gap in play by Jose Altuve. The Stros may look drastically different even with all the stars remaining with the team. Kuechel (Free Agent), Morton (Signed with Rays), and McCullers (Tommy John’s out 2019) will be a lot of production to replace. Right now it looks like rookie stud Josh James, Collin McCugh and Brad Peacock will fill the void. James is really the only player of the 3 to be excited about, however still young. Tony Sipp, most likely gone but the bullpen should be in an ok place if not above average.

On the offensive side, Michael Brantley should help a ton from the left side. However, the Astros lost Brian McCann (Signed with Braves) which hurts locker room presence. Chris Hermann (Signed with A’s) and Martin Maldonado (Free Agent) is a lot of catcher depth to lose. Robinson Chirinos was signed to help behind the dish. It will take some time for the pitchers get comfortable with their new battle partner. DH Evan Gattis (Free Agent) is a lot of muscle to replace. On top of the player losses, Dave Hudgens – hitting coach is now with the Blue Jays and the assistant hitting coach is headed to the Cardinals. The Angels and A’s won’t compete for the West, but they have become much more competitive. They can probably win the division with 93+ wins and still be up on the 2nd team in the division.

PLAY- Under 97.5

 

Rockies 82

The Rockies are losing a lot of players, not a ton of talent. Outside of potentially losing Adam Ottavino, that may be really the only stinging loss. The rotation was the best Coors has ever seen. Kyle Freeland is now scratching top 20 pitchers in the MLB and German Marquez is becoming a strong #2. Advance stats say Jon Gray should be a lot better. Throughout last season he would dominate all but one inning. If he can iron that out, watch out. The top 3 are formidable to any in the NL. The bullpen needs to find someone to replace Ottavino, but Scott Oberg looked like he was rounding into that role.

On offense, they will be losing a 3 time Gold Glover in D.J. LaMahieu. However, his road splits really didn’t help. The Rockies signed Daniel Murphy and will give some left-handed pop they desperately needed. He should be shifting to 1B and they can deploy either, Garrett Hampson, Ryan McMahon or Brendan Rodgers, all of which are highly touted but have yet to produce in the MLB. It also allows them to get more athletic in the outfield. Desmond will take Carlos Gonzalez right field role. Charlie Blackmon will move to left and more athletic David Dahl will move to center. The Diamondbacks will be drastically worse, Padres will still be a lower level team and the Giants haven’t done anything to make them move up in the standings. This will be another Dodgers, Rockies race to October.

PLAY – Over 82

 

Phillies – 83

The NL East looks like a 4 horse race. Most imagine the Nationals will be the leader of the pack with the additions of Corbin, Sanchez, Suzuki, and Dozier. But that team isn’t much different than last year. Replacing Roark and Gonzalez with Corbin. Replacing Harper with Dozier and Suzuki, it’s almost the same team and they have done really nothing to upgrade the bullpen.

Most people aren’t big on Gabe Kapler, but I can look past that. The Phillies add Segura, who may be the most underrated SS in the MLB. Not only is he underrated, but he will also be moving from one of the worst hitter’s parks in the league to one of the better parks. Andrew McCutchen was very productive last season, once with the Yankees, his OBP, SLG, and OPS drastically jumped. He could have another productive season for the Fighting Phils. Rhys Hoskins will now be able to move back to his more natural 1B. The team is in serious pursuit of Manny/Harper. Either would boost the already improving lineup.

Aaron Nola is one of the best pitchers in the league. Arrieta is a solid #2, Eflin and Pivetta have the stuff to solidify the rotation. Serathony Dominguez has the stuff to be one of the most dominant bullpen guys and if they can get Hector Neris back to his 2017 form, their bullpen should be tough. The addition of David Robertson will help immensely on the younger players.

PLAY – OVER 83

 

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