Warriors/Raptors Game 5: Predictions Cheat Sheet

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Predictive Analysis Of Game 4.

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The Raptors were able to get the W even while being outshot in the game. The warriors outshot the Raptors 45% to 42% in Game 4 and were 11-1 when out shooting their opponent in the playoffs.

The Raptors improve to 11-1 in the playoffs when they allow 100pts or less, and as for the warriors. It was the first time since last year’s Western Conferance finals vs Houston that they had been held to under 100 pts. They went 19 straight games scoring over 100 pts, although during the regular season they were 0-8 when scoring less than 100pts.

The Raptors had 9 turnovers to the Warriors 17. They are now 14-2 in the playoffs when they have less turn overs than their opponent.

The Raptors led 79-67 at the end of the 3rd Q and were 11-2 when leading after the 3rd Q.
The Raptors are now 13-5 when scoring 105 pts in the playoffs. They are 15-6 in the playoffs when their opponent shoots less than 50%.

The Raptors are now 11-7 when they shoot less than 50% from the field. They are 6-4 on the road in the playoffs.

The Raptors are 6-6 in the playoffs when they have less assists than their opponents.
The Raptors are 3-4 in the playoffs when they trail after the 1Q.
The Raptors are 3-5 in the playoffs when they trail after the 1H.
The Raptors are 3-6 when they are outshot by their opponent in the playoffs.
The Raptors are 2-4 when they have more turnovers than their opponent.

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The Warriors shot 45% to the Raptors 42%, they were 13-2 when their opponent shoots less than 50% from the field. The Warriors, surprisingly 8-2 going into this game when they had fewer steals then their opponent. They had fewer steals in Game 4. (6-12)
The Warriors were leading 46-42 at halftime and were 7-2 when leading at halftime so far in the playoffs. The Warriors outrebounded the Raptors 42-38 in game 4 and were 9-3 when outrebounding their opponents so far in the playoffs. The Warriors had 26 assists to the Raptors 22 in game 4 and were 12-4 so far in the playoffs when they had more assists than their opponents.

The Warriors led 23-17, after the 1Q. They were 9-4 in the playoffs so far when leading after the 1st Q, and then surprisingly, tey are 4-2 when they trail after the 1Q so far in the playoffs. The Warriors are now 13-7, the Raptors 15-7, the Raptors now pass the Warriors in this year’s playoff win %. The Raptors now 68%, the Warriors now 65%.
The Warriors are now 10-7 when they allow 100pts or more, so far in the playoffs.THey are 8-6 when they shoot less than 50% in the playoffs.
The Warriors are now 2-5 in the playoffs when they trail after the 3Q.

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As far as betting goes for this game. The Warriors are now 6-4 at home, but if you’ve faded them in every home game so far in these playoffs. You’ve gone 4-6, but you’re up +16.27u. So if you bet $100 a game against the Warriors at home you’d be up $1600 so far.

Another bet that has been red hot is the 4Q Unders. The Raptors 4Q has gone under 18 out of 22 playoff games so far this season. Absolutely unreal streak. It’s been paying my rent to be completely honest.

The 4Q Under in the NBA playoffs is now 49-30-1, +14.59u so far.
The 4Q under in Warriors games are now 12-8 so far in the playoffs.

The 2H under, if you bet it before the game started, you can do that at some offshore books – we gave it out at 108.5 and it landed on 109 – but besides that bad beat the 2H unders have gone 15-6-1 for the Raptors so far in the playoffs.

As for the Warriors. The Warriors are now 5-15 ATS in the 2Q. Which is just absolutely crazy.

The Raptors won the 2H by 17 points. They are now 15-6-1 ATS in the 2H.
The Raptors were a +3.5 underdog in the 1H, and they lost the 1H by 4pts.
Even with that bad beat, the Raptors are now 14-7-1 ATS in the 1H.
The Raptors Unders are now 7-3 on the Road so far in the playoffs.

The Warriors are now 3-7 ATS at home so far in the playoffs, after playing possibly their last game at Oracle Arena.

The Warriors are now 13-6-1 ATS in the 1Q so far in the playoffs.

The Raptors are now 6-4 on the road in the playoffs. +3.8 units so far.

Overall in the playoffs the Raptors are 15-7, +5.84u.

The Raptors are 14-8 in the 3Q ATS so far in the playoffs.

Road teams throughout the NBA playoffs have gone 34-46, +15.7u so far.

The Raptors unders are now 13-8-1, +3.83u so far in the playoffs.

The Largest Lead over prop in the NBA playoffs have gone to 46-33-1, +8.86u so far in the playoffs.

The Warriors are now 7-11-2 ATS so far in the playoffs. Fading them bettors have gone +3.01u

The Warriors 1Q Unders are now 12-8 in the playoffs.
The Warriors are now 8-12 ATS in the 3Q so far in the playoffs, bettors have won +2.92u so far fading the Warriors in the 3Q.

The Raptors 2Q unders are 12-8-2 so far in the playoffs.
The Raptors 3Q Overs are 12-8-2 so far in the playoffs.
The 3Q Overs in the NBA overall are 43-25-2 in the 2019 NBA playoffs.
The Raptors are 13-9 ATS so far in the playoffs.
The Raptors 1H Unders are 12-9-1 so far in the NBA playoffs.
Raptors Unders overall are 12-9-1 so far in the playoffs.
Unders as a whole in the NBA playoffs have gone 41-36-3

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The Raptors are 9-1 from game four through seven so far in the playoffs.
They are 3-0 in game 5’s

Only 1 out of 34 teams in NBA finals history have been able to come back from a 3-1 deficit, that was the 2016 Cleveland Cavaliers and LeBron James who did it over these Golden State Warriors.

Overall, in an uncountable amount of NBA playoff series, going back to 1946, 73 years of professional basketball – only 11 teams in history have been able to come back from 3-1. One of them was the 2015 Warriors over the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Although in previous years the trendy bet was on the Warriors in the 3Q.
Fading the Warriors in the 3Q has actually been more profitable than betting on them.
Bettors fading the Warriors in the 3Q ATS have gone 12-8, +2.92u so far in these playoffs.

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As far as in game trends that were active in this game.
The 1Q went under and the 1H went under, and the 1H under is 31-11 so far in the playoffs when the 1Q goes under. Also, when the 3Q goes over the 4Q Under is 27-16 so far in the playoffs.

When the 1Q goes under the 4Q under is 25-17 so far in the playoffs.
When the 2Q goes under, the 3Q over is 22-15-1, +5.02u
When the 2Q goes under the 4Q under is 22-15.
When the 1H goes under the 4Q under is 22-17
WHen the 2Q goes under the 2H under is 20-18

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Spark Sports’ Betting Tips:

The Raptors 4Q Under is 18-4 so far in the playoffs. The 4Q Under overall in the NBA Playoffs is 49-30-1, and the Warriors 4Q Under is 12-8. The 4Q Under is 100% worth a shot at a 3.5% stake.
The Raptors opened as -138 favorites on the ML and since the Kevin Durant news they have moved all the way to a -106 underdog. So far in the playoffs plus money dogs vs short favorites (between -143 and -101) are: 10-5, +6.05u so far in the playoffs. If the Raptors get to + money. This is a beautiful play at about a 3% stake.
The Over in Warriors road games so far in the playoffs have gone: 7-2-1 so far. In Warriors games overall the over has gone: 12-7-1 so far in the playoffs. This is worth a shot at a 2.7% stake.
The Warriors have struggled in the 2Q so far in these playoffs. Golden State is 5-15 ATS so far in the 2Q. Fading the Warriors in the 2Q has been profitable (15-5, +8.65u). This is a good bet at a 2.7% stake.
The Raptors 2H’s have gone 15-6-1 so far in the playoffs. This is a great bet at a 2.2% stake.
The Raptors are 15-6-1 in the 2H ATS so far in the playoffs. This is also a great bet at a 2.2% stake.
The 2Q Over in Warriors games has gone: 14-6 so far in the playoffs. This is a good bet at 2.1% stake.
The Warriors are 13-6-1 ATS in the 1Q so far in the playoffs. A good shot to take a 1.8% stake.
The Raptors are 14-7-1 ATS in the 1H so far in the playoffs. This is a good bet at a 1.6% stake.
The Raptors are 14-8 ATS in the 3Q, the Warriors are 8-12 ATS in the 3Q. Tailing the Raptors and fading the Warriors in the 3Q is a good bet worth a 1.35% stake.
The 1H Over in Warriors games has gone: 12-8, this is a 1% stake bet.
The 1Q Under in Warriors games has gone: 12-8., this is a 1% stake bet.
The 3Q Over in Raptors games has gone: 12-8-2, overall in the NBA Playoffs the 3Q Over has gone: 43-35-2. This is a 1% stake bet.
The Largest Lead Over prop has hit at 57.5% so far in the NBA Playoffs (46-33-1) This is a 1% stake bet.
The Warriors are 11-9-2 ATS in the 4Q so far in the playoffs. This is a 1% stake bet.

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SparkSportsBestBets

NBA Finals: Game 5
3.52% – TOR/GS (4Q) u52 (-110)
2.73% – TOR/GS o215 (-108)
2.7% – Raptors (2Q) -110
2.5% – Raptors -102
2.17% – TOR/GS (2H: u104.5) -108
2.11% – TOR/GS (2Q) o54.5 (-107)
1.82% – Warriors (1Q) -108
1.63% – Raptors (1H) -108
1.35% – Raptors (3Q) +100
1% – TOR/GS (1H: o109.5) -113
1% – TOR/GS (1Q) u55 (-112)
1% – TOR/GS (3Q) o52.5 (-110)
1% – Warriors (4Q) -108


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