UFC 261 Results and Closing Odds

UFC 261 poster.jpeg

UFC 261 Results and Closing Odds – MMA Post Show: UFC 261 took place on Saturday, April 24th. From the VyStar Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida.

The event was headlined by three title fights and was the first UFC Event in the United States to have fans in attendance, since before the COVID-19 pandemic in March of 2020.

The event was headlined by UFC welterweight champion Kamaru Usman, as he defeated Jorge Masvidal via 2nd round knockout, cashing as a -270 favorite.

In the co-main event, former UFC Women’s Strawweight champion Rose Namajunas became the first woman to ever recapture UFC gold, as she defeated Weili Zhang with a first-round, head-kick, knockout; pulling off the upset as a +180 underdog.

In the first of the three title fights on the card, Valentina Shevchenko put on a master class performance, defeating Jessica Andrade via 2nd round T/KO, cashing in as a heavy -430 favorite.


UFC 261 Results and Betting Trends

UFC 261RecordProfit (Units)
Favorites9-4+0.37u
Dogs4-9-2.31u
Over4-9-6u
Under9-4+5.41u
Fight Goes Distance: Yes5-8-2.02u
Fight Goes Distance: No8-5+2u

The most profitable betting trend on the night was the ‘Under’ which cashed for +5.41 units, with all 5 fights on the main card going under the betting total. The betting favorite went 9-4 on the night, turning a marginal profit of +0.37 units.

UFC 2021 Betting Trends

Since 2021RecordProfit (Units)
Favorites104-55-3-4.19u
Dogs55-104-3-11.13u
Over100-60-2+4.8u
Under60-100-2-31.01u
Fight Goes Distance: Yes85-75-2+7.78u
Fight Goes Distance: No75-85-2-18.78u

Despite the ‘Under’ cashing in heavily on Saturday, the ‘Over’ has continued to be the story as far as betting trends go in 2021, with more than 100 fights reaching beyond the betting total since the start of this year.

Kamaru Usman (c) def. Jorge Masvidal

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Usman (-270)
via 2nd Round KO
(Punch)
Usman by T/KO (+320), Inside the Distance (+275)Under 4.5 (+150)Fight Goes Distance: No (+130)

Kamaru Usman cashed as a -270 favorite by defeating Jorge Masvidal by way of a devastating second-round knockout. Usman cashed at +275 to win ‘Inside the Distance’ and has now won 5 of his 14 UFC appearances by way of stoppage. A $100 bettor who has backed Usman to win ‘Inside the Distance’ in every fight since his 2015 UFC debut has profited +$548.

Rose Namajunas def. Zhang Weili (c)

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Namajunas (+180)
via 1st Round KO
(Head Kick)
Namajunas by T/KO (+675),
Inside the Distance (+420)
Under 4.5 (+110)Fight Goes Distance: No (+100)

Rose Namajunas cashes at a +180 to defeat Weili Zhang and recapture the UFC Women’s Strawweight gold. Namajunas cashes at +420 to win ‘Inside the Distance’. A $100 bettor who has backed Rose Namajunas to win by stoppage in each of her 11 UFC appearances has profited +$1109, dating back to her UFC debut in 2014.

Valentina Shevchenko (c) def. Jéssica Andrade

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Shevchenko (-430)
via 2nd T/KO (Elbows)
Shevchenko by T/KO (+220), Inside the Distance (+120)Under 3.5 (-105)Fight Goes Distance: No (-130)

Valentina Shevchenko picks up the rather easy victory over Jessica Andrade with a 2nd round TKO from strikes in the crucifix position. Shevchenko cashes as the heavy -430 better favorite. A $100 bettor who has backed Shevchenko to win on the moneyline in all of her 12 UFC appearances is up just $324, with a 10-2 record.

Uriah Hall def. Chris Weidman

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Hall (+155)
via 1st Round T/KO
(Injury: Broken Leg)
Hall by T/KO (+210), Inside the Distance (+235)Under 2.5 (-110)Fight Goes Distance: No (-120)

Uriah Hall defeated Chris Weidman by T/KO just 17 seconds into the first round, as Weidman threw a leg kick that was checked by Hall, causing Weidman’s leg to snap. It was a gruesome, freak injury, and an unfortunate way for such a highly anticipated fight to go down. Hall cashed as the +155 underdog, and at +235 to win ‘Inside the Distance’. A $100 bettor who has backed Hall to win by stoppage in his last 13 UFC fights, dating back to 2015, has turned a profit of +$1317.

Anthony Smith def. Jimmy Crute

ResultMethod PropTotal RoundsDistance Prop
Smith (+216)
via 1st Round (T/KO)
(Doctor Stoppage: Leg)
Smith by T/KO (+700), Inside the Distance (+450)Under 2.5 (-120)Fight Goes Distance: No (-150)

Anthony Smith defeats Jimmy Crute by way of 1st round T/KO, after the cage side doctor stopped the fight in between the 1st and 2nd round, due to a leg injury sustained by Crute. Anthony Smith caught Crute with a leg kick in the back of the knee, causing Crute’s foot and ankle to turn over numerous times. Crute shot in for the takedown and managed to survive the final minute of the round, but was barely able to make it back to his feet, and after being observed, the doctor waived off the fight.

Smith cashes as a +216 underdog and was lined at +450 to win ‘Inside the Distance’. With the win, Smith has won 6 of his last 10 fights by way of stoppage, turning a profit of +$904 on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop dating back to 2018.

UFC 261 Prelim Results and Closing Odds

Randy Brown (-122) def. Alex Oliveira (+120) via 1st Round Submission (rear-naked choke)
Dwight Grant (-172) def. Stefan Sekulić (+175) via Decision (split)
Brendan Allen (-130) def. Karl Roberson (+145) via 1st round Submission (ankle lock)
Patrick Sabatini (-225) def. Tristan Connelly (+210) via Decision (unanimous)
Danaa Batgerel (-200) def. Kevin Natividad (+210) via 1st Round TKO (punches)
Rodrigo Vargas (+205) def. Rong Zhu (-205) via Decision (unanimous)
Jeff Molina (-110) def. Qileng Aori (+110) via Decision (unanimous)
Ariane Carnelossi (-210) def. Na Liang (+200) via 2nd Round TKO (punches)

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