UFC on ABC 2 Best Bets

UFC on ABC 2 Best Bets: The second edition of ‘UFC on ABC’ kicks off on Saturday afternoon, as UFC Vegas 23 from the Apex Center in Las Vegas brings MMA action to national television. The event is headlined by UFC Welterweight contender Marvin Vettori, as he comes in as the heavy betting favorite against Kevin Holland, who comes in on short notice, replacing the injured Darren Till.

Headed into Saturday’s event, the most profitable betting prop to back so far in 2021 in the UFC has been the ‘Over’, which has gone 79-45-2, for +6.61 units profit. Meanwhile, 65 of the first 126 UFC fights this year have gone to the score cards, going 65-59-2 on the ‘Fight Does Distance’ prop, profiting +3.93 units.

2021 UFC Betting Trends

Since 2021RecordWin %Profit
Favorites80-43-363.5%-4.04u
Dogs43-80-334.1%-6.52u
Over79-45-262.7%+6.61u
Under45-79-235.7%-26.14u
Fight Goes Distance65-59-251.6%+3.93u
Fight Doesn’t Go Distance59-65-246.8%-13.48u

UFC on ABC 2 Odds: Vettori vs Holland

UFC on ABC 2Marvin VettoriKevin Holland
to Win Outright-320+305
Inside the Distance+125+400
to Win by Decision+195+1100
Total RoundsOver 2.5 (-125)Under 2.5 (+125)
Where/WhenUFC Apex, Las VegasSaat, April 10th | 3:00 PM ET

UFC Middleweight Division Betting Trends

Headed into Saturday’s UFC on ABC main event, the most profitable prop to back in the UFC Middleweight division over the last 16 months has been the ‘Under’, which has gone 30-27 for +4.03 units profit. Meanwhile, the betting favorite has cashed at a 68.4% at 185lbs since the start of 2020, going 39-18 for +1.52 units profit. Based on the betting trend, any favorite at middleweight over the last year and a half at -216 or better, has been a +EV wager long term.

Marvin Vettori Betting Trends

Since his UFC debut in 2016, Marvin Vettori has gone to the score cards in 7 of his 9 UFC bouts, with the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop cashing for +5.57 units profit, while the ‘Over’ has turned a profit of +2.94 units. Of Vettori’s 6 UFC wins, 4 of them have come by decision, with the ‘to Win by Decision’ prop turning a profit of +2.71 units in his UFC career.

Kevin Holland Betting Trends

The ‘Trailblazer’ Kevin Holland has had an intrepid UFC career since making his debut back in 2018. Of his 11 UFC bouts, 5 of them have gone the distance, cashing for +3.02 units profit on the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop, with the ‘Over’ going 7-4 for +2.12 units. Meanwhile, one of the best props to back in Kevin Holland’s UFC career has actually been by backing his opponent to win by decision. With just 2 losses to decision in his UFC career, a $100 bettor who has faded Holland by backing his opponents to win by decision turned a profit of +$271

UFC on ABC 2: Best Bets

StakeWagerOddsSportsbook
2.5% (1u)Holland/Vettori (Fight Goes Distance)+130Pinnacle
2% (0.8u)Holland/Vettori Over 4.5 Rounds+131Pinnacle
1.9% (0.76u)Marvin Vettori (by Decision)+195Pinnacle
2.5% (1u)Sodiq Yusuff to Win Fight-141Pinnacle
2.5% (1u)Julian Marquez (Inside the Distance)+135CoolBet
2.2% (0.88u)Nina Nunes to Win Fight-137Pinnacle
2.3% (0.92)Daniel Rodriguez to Win Fight-134Pinnacle
2.5% (1u)Perry/Rodriguez (Fight Goes Distance)-110BetCris
2.5% (1u) Miller/Solecki Under 2.5 Rounds+125Pinnacle
1.2% (0.48u)Jim MIller to Win Fight+208Pinnacle
1% (0.4u)Scott Holtzman to Win Fight+186BetCris
1% (0.4u)John Makdessi to Win Fight+158BetCris
1% (0.4u)Makdessi/Bahamondes (Fight Goes Distance) -150BetCris
1% (0.4u)de Castro/Jarjis Over 1.5 Rounds-115BetCris
1% (0.4u)Jarjis Danho to Win Fight+234BetCris
1.2% (0.48u)Shore/Azure Under 2.5 Rounds+135BetCris
1% (0.4u)Jordan Griffin to Win Fight+106BetCris
2.5% (1u)Da Un Jung to Win Fight-141BetCris
1% (0.4u)Jung/Knight Over 2.5 Rounds+145CoolBet
1% (0.4u)Sasha Palatnikov to Win Fight+210Pinnacle
2.5% (1u)Allen/Yusuff (Fight Goes Distance), Dern/Nunes (Fight Goes Distance) (Parlay)+127Pinnacle
2.5% (1u)Saldana/Griffin Over 2.5, Kasanganay/Palatnikov o2.5 (Parlay)+129Pinnacle
2.4% (0.96u)Holtzman/Gamrot Over 2.5, Jack Shore to Win Fight (Parlay)+119BetCris
2021 MMA Record: 124-143, +2.16 units
Verified via BetMMA.tips

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